Wednesday, January 20, 2010

MGI on Debt and Deleveraging

McKinsey Global Institute has a new report out on debt and deleveraging. Key takeaways from the executive summary are:
- Over leverage is widespread, affecting many different countries and sectors (household, states, financial insititutions, commercial real estate and to a lesser extent corporates)
- Deleveraging has barely begun
- If past episodes are any guide growth will be slow to negative for a few years as
- Past deleveraging episodes lasted 6 to 7 years on average.

The long report (not read) is a goldmine of data with a detailed look at seven past deleveraging episodes.

Monday, January 18, 2010

BRIC's Contributions...

to growth and income via Paul Kedrosky who highlights a FT chart. FT's in depth BRIC section is worth a browse.
In 2000 the average G7 inhabitant was 11x richer than his BRIC peer, by 2014 he'll "only" be 5x richer.

Friday, January 8, 2010

A Nice Little Conversation

Ineichen has a nice three parts conversation on the crisis, finance, asset management, hedge funds, regulation, bananas. Full of re-usable quotes such as "Life is a tragedy for those who feel, but a comedy to those who think" or "It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you in trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so."

Here is part 1
Here is part 2
Here is part 3

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

Blue Sky for Bluecrest

Here is a nice profile of Michael Platt, co-founder of hedge fund firm BlueCrest Capital Management Ltd. Lucky guy he won the Fiat Cinquecento painted by Hirst at a charity buying 20 5000GBP tickets. Most likely an other good trade.

Monday, January 4, 2010

Economists are Optimists

Judging from James Montier's chart they at least don't like bumps in the road: