Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Outlook 2011

It s the time for this again. Bloomberg lists the strategists forecasts for 2011.

Firm                 Strategist           2011 Close   2011 EPS
===============================================================
Bank of America David Bianco 1,400 $93.00
Bank of Montreal* Ben Joyce 1,350 $90.00
Barclays Barry Knapp 1,420 $91.00
Citigroup** Tobias Levkovich 1,400 $96.50
Credit Suisse Douglas Cliggott 1,250 $91.00
Deutsche Bank Binky Chadha 1,550 $96.00
Goldman Sachs David Kostin 1,500 $96.00
HSBC Garry Evans 1,430
JPMorgan Thomas Lee 1,425 $94.00
Morgan Stanley Adam Parker 1,238 $93.00
Oppenheimer Brian Belski 1,325 $88.50
RBC Myles Zyblock $88.00
UBS Jonathan Golub 1,325 $96.00
---------------------------------------------------------------
Mean 1,384 $92.75
Median 1,400 $93.00
High 1,550 $96.50
Low 1,238 $88.00

* BMO’s forecast is a rolling 12-month projection.
** Citigroup’s estimate for S&P 500 profit is from Steven

So roughly 8.5% upisde from current level.

Last year's forecasts
were pretty much spot on. With Median 2012e EPS currently at 102 it is not unreasonable to expect a new record for the S&P within the next 12-18 months. Time will tell.

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